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ЖУРНАЛЫ // Theory of Stochastic Processes // Архив

Theory Stoch. Process., 2008, том 14(30), выпуск 3, страницы 39–52 (Mi thsp212)

Exact non-ruin probabilities in arithmetic case

Vasily Chernecky

Department of Higher Mathematics, Odessa State Academy of Refrigeration, 65026 Odessa, Ukraine

Аннотация: Using the Wiener-Hopf method, for the model with arithmetic distributions of waiting times $T_i$ and claims $Z_i$ in ordinary renewal process, an exact non-ruin probabilities for an insurance company in terms of the factorization of the symbol of the discrete Feller-Lundberg equation, are obtained. The delayed stationary process is introduced and generating function for delay is given. It is proved that the stationary renewal process in arithmetic case is ordinary if and only if, when the inter-arrival times have the shifted geometrical distribution. A formula for exact non-ruin probabilities in delayed stationary process is obtained. Illustrative examples when the distributions of $T_i$ and $Z_i$ are shifted geometrical or negative binomial with positive integer power are considered. In these cases the symbol of the equation is rational functions what allows us to obtain the factorization in explicit form.

Ключевые слова: Fundamental equation of the risk theory, ordinary/stationary renewal process, delayed renewal processes, stationarity, discrete analog of one-sided Wiener-Hopf integral equation, Riemann boundary-value problem, Wiener-Hopf factorization method.

MSC: 60G35, 45E10, 62P05

Язык публикации: английский



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