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JOURNALS // Annales de l'institut Henri Poincare (B) Probability and Statistics // Archive

Ann. Inst. H. Poincaré Probab. Statist., 2014, Volume 50, Issue 2, Pages 602–627 (Mi aipps1)

This article is cited in 24 papers

Conditional limit theorems for intermediately subcritical branching processes in random environment

V. I. Afanasyeva, Ch. Böinghoffb, G. Kerstingb, V. A. Vatutina

a Department of Discrete Mathematics, Steklov Mathematical Institute, 8 Gubkin Street, 119 991 Moscow, Russia
b Fachbereich Mathematik, Universität Frankfurt, Fach 187, D-60054 Frankfurt am Main, Germany

Abstract: For a branching process in random environment it is assumed that the offspring distribution of the individuals varies in a random fashion, independently from one generation to the other. For the subcritical regime a kind of phase transition appears. In this paper we study the intermediately subcritical case, which constitutes the borderline within this phase transition. We study the asymptotic behavior of the survival probability. Next the size of the population and the shape of the random environment conditioned on non-extinction is examined. Finally we show that conditioned on non-extinction periods of small and large population sizes alternate. This kind of ‘bottleneck’ behavior appears under the annealed approach only in the intermediately subcritical case.

MSC: Primary 60J80; Secondary 60K37; 60G50; 60F17

Received: 13.01.2012
Revised: 18.09.2012
Accepted: 24.09.2012

Language: English

DOI: 10.1214/12-AIHP526



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