Comparison of the guaranteed estimates of innovation effectiveness

A new multipurpose technical system designed under the uncertain conditions was compared in terms of the guaranteed estimate of earnings with the functioning system and the ideal system, which hypothetically could have been constructed in the presence of precise a priori information about all – in reality, uncertain, uncontrollable – factors. The guaranteed estimate-based comparisons were corroborated by the experiments with a conventional example under various, not only critical, variants of the a priori uncertain factors.

Presented by the member of Editorial Board: D. A. Novikov