Abstract:
This paper is concerned with multistage bidding models introduced by De Meyer and Moussa Saley (2002) to analyze the evolution
of the price system at finance markets with asymmetric information.
The zero-sum repeated games with incomplete information are considered modelling the biddings with countable sets of possible prices and
admissible bids, unlike the above-mentioned paper, where two values
of price are possible and arbitrary bids are allowed.
It is shown that, if the liquidation price of a share has a finite dispersion,
then the sequence of values of n-step games is bounded and converges
to the value of the game with infinite number of steps. We construct
explicitly the optimal strategies for this game.
The optimal strategy of Player 1 (the insider) generates a symmetric random walk of posterior mathematical expectations of liquidation
price with absorption. The expected duration of this random walk is
equal to the initial dispersion of liquidation price. The guaranteed total gain of Player 1 (the value of the game) is equal to this expected
duration multiplied with the fixed gain per step.