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JOURNALS // Computer Research and Modeling // Archive

Computer Research and Modeling, 2024 Volume 16, Issue 4, Pages 1023–1032 (Mi crm1204)

MODELS OF ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL SYSTEMS

Assessing the impact of deposit benchmark interest rate on banking loan dynamics

M. Ansori, H. A. Jasir, A. H. Sihombing, S. M. Putra, D. A. Nurfaizah, E. Nurulita

Universitas Diponegoro, Jl. Prof. Jacub Rais, 50275, Semarang, Indonesia

Abstract: Deposit benchmark interest rates are a policy implemented by banking regulators to calculate the interest rates offered to depositors, maintaining equitable and competitive rates within the financial industry. It functions as a benchmark for determining the pricing of different banking products, expenses, and financial choices. The benchmark rate will have a direct impact on the amount of money deposited, which in turn will determine the amount of money available for lending.We are motivated to analyze the influence of deposit benchmark interest rates on the dynamics of banking loans. This study examines the issue using a difference equation of banking loans. In this process, the decision on the loan amount in the next period is influenced by both the present loan volume and the information on its marginal profit. An analysis is made of the loan equilibrium point and its stability. We also analyze the bifurcations that arise in the model. To ensure a stable banking loan, it is necessary to set the benchmark rate higher than the flip value and lower than the transcritical bifurcation values. The confirmation of this result is supported by the bifurcation diagram and its associated Lyapunov exponent. Insufficient deposit benchmark interest rates might lead to chaotic dynamics in banking lending. Additionally, a bifurcation diagram with two parameters is also shown. We do numerical sensitivity analysis by examining contour plots of the stability requirements, which vary with the deposit benchmark interest rate and other parameters. In addition, we examine a nonstandard difference approach for the previous model, assess its stability, and make a comparison with the standard model. The outcome of our study can provide valuable insights to the banking regulator in making informed decisions regarding deposit benchmark interest rates, taking into account several other banking factors.

Keywords: chaos, deposit benchmark rate, sensitivity analysis, two-parameter bifurcation

UDC: 519.6+336.7

Received: 18.01.2024
Revised: 07.06.2024
Accepted: 11.06.2024

Language: English

DOI: 10.20537/2076-7633-2024-16-4-1023-1032



© Steklov Math. Inst. of RAS, 2024