Abstract:
Let $\{Z_{n},n=0,1,2,\dots\}$ be a critical branching process in a random environment, and $\{S_{n},n=0,1,2,\dots\}$ be its associated random walk. It is known that if the increments of this random walk belong (without centering) to the domain of attraction of a stable law, then there exists a regularly varying at infinity sequence $a_{1},a_{2},\dots$ such that conditional distributions
\begin{equation*}
\mathbf{P}\bigg(\frac{S_{n}}{a_{n}}\leq x\Bigm| Z_{n}>0\bigg),\quad x\in(-\infty,+\infty),
\end{equation*}
converge weakly to the distribution of strictly positive proper random variable. In this paper we add to this result the description of the asymptotic behavior of the probability
\begin{equation*}
\mathbf{P}(Z_{n}>0, S_{n}\leq \varphi(n)),
\end{equation*}
where $\varphi (n)\to \infty$ for $n\to \infty$ in such a way that $\varphi (n)=o(a_{n})$.
Keywords:branching process, unfavorable random environment, non-extinction probability.