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JOURNALS // Eurasian Mathematical Journal // Archive

Eurasian Math. J., 2014 Volume 5, Number 2, Pages 52–59 (Mi emj156)

This article is cited in 1 paper

Mathematical model of multifractal dynamics and global warming

A. N. Kudinov, O. I. Krylova, V. P. Tsvetkov, I. V. Tsvetkov

Department of Applied Mathematics, Tver State University, 33 Zhelyabov St., Tver 170100, Russia

Abstract: In this work the variations of global temperature that have occurred in the period from 1860 up to now are analyzed on the basis of the concept of multifractal dynamics. The multifractal curve describing dynamics of global temperature for this period of time has the following values of fractal dimensions over 5 periods lasting for 30–31 years each, accordingly: $D_1=1,140$; $D_2=1,166$; $D_3=1,141$; $D_4=1,203$; $D_5=1,183$. Such relatively small values of fractal dimensions are indicative of essentially determined character of processes responsible for variations of global temperature. Our predictive estimates provide $0,5^\circ$ C increase in global temperature by 2072, thereby confirming maintenance of the tendency of global warming in the near future.

Keywords and phrases: fractal, multifractal dynamics, global warming, climate, global temperature.

MSC: 28A80

Received: 30.01.2012

Language: English



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