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JOURNALS // Informatika i Ee Primeneniya [Informatics and its Applications] // Archive

Inform. Primen., 2019 Volume 13, Issue 3, Pages 114–121 (Mi ia617)

This article is cited in 1 paper

Application of recurrent neural networks to forecasting the moments of finite normal mixtures

A. K. Gorsheninab, V. Yu. Kuzminc

a Institute of Informatics Problems, Federal Research Center “Computer Science and Control” of the Russian Academy of Sciences, 44-2 Vavilov Str., Moscow 119333, Russian Federation
b Faculty of Computational Mathematics and Cybernetics, M. V. Lomonosov Moscow State University, GSP-1, Leninskie Gory, Moscow 119991, Russian Federation
c “Wi2Geo LLC”, 3-1 Mira Ave., Moscow 129090, Russian Federation

Abstract: The article compares the application of feedforward and recurrent neural networks to forecasting continuous values of expectation, variance, skewness, and kurtosis of finite normal mixtures. Fourteen various architectures of neural networks are considered. To increase training speed, the high-performance computing cluster is used. It is demonstrated that the best forecasting results based on standard metrics (root-mean-square error, mean absolute errors, and loss function) are achieved on the two LSTM (Long-Short Term Memory) networks: with 100 neurons in one hidden layer and 50 neurons in each three hidden layers.

Keywords: recurrent neural networks, forecasting, deep learning, high-performance computing, CUDA.

Received: 04.09.2019

DOI: 10.14357/19922264190316



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