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JOURNALS // Preprints of the Keldysh Institute of Applied Mathematics // Archive

Keldysh Institute preprints, 2001 032 (Mi ipmp1084)

Investment process dynamics: analysis and prediction

M. S. Zabotnev


Abstract: The work is devoted to the problem of price motion prediction on the stock market. An interaction of a big number of people involved in the investment process is considered from the chaos and self-organization theory point of view. The method of short-term predictions building is developed based on nonlinear and neuro-science conceptions. A detailed analysis of practical results gained on operation testing of the prediction system on the Russian stock market allows to make a conclusions about adaptability of investigating method and also planning main prospects of this method development.



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