The modified KMKh-model of the world dynamics. Probability-theoretical approach to the construction of scenarios of development

In this paper an attempt is made to modify the Korotaev–Malkov–Khalturina (KMKh) model to ensure that the model could give the best forecasts for 50-100 years ahead. Is the study of the modified model. Presents a probabilistic approach to the analysis of the possible dynamical regimes of the model.