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JOURNALS // Preprints of the Keldysh Institute of Applied Mathematics // Archive

Keldysh Institute preprints, 2014 081, 14 pp. (Mi ipmp1933)

Prospective method of critical technologies

G. G. Malinetskii, N. S. Timofeev


Abstract: We offer a new approach to the determination of critical technologies and to the use of them as a tool directing scientific and technical development. This approach bases not only on foresight and usage of expert knowledge, but also on computer simulations, methods of future designing and a number of cognitive technologies.

Keywords: critical technologies, forecast, development, system analysis, philosophy of technology, designing of future, cognitive technologies, scientific-technical strategy, foresight, expert knowledge.



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