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JOURNALS // Preprints of the Keldysh Institute of Applied Mathematics // Archive

Keldysh Institute preprints, 2007 052, 29 pp. (Mi ipmp507)

Analysis of strategic risks by mathematical modeling

S. A. Makhov, S. A. Posashkov


Abstract: The work is devoted to analysis of global risks, which have strategic meaning for world development's prognosis on 100 years. It is considered 4 types of risks: asteroid danger, climate, resource and demographic risks. It is pointed on basic groups of probable dangers for every type of risks and also mathematical models and methods, investigating these dangers.



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