RUS  ENG
Full version
JOURNALS // Informatsionnye Tekhnologii i Vychslitel'nye Sistemy // Archive

Informatsionnye Tekhnologii i Vychslitel'nye Sistemy, 2016 Issue 1, Pages 3–11 (Mi itvs214)

MATHEMATICAL MODELING

System and dynamic model of informing the population at accident on chemical dangerous object

R. A. Durnev, A. S. Kotosonova, R. L. Galiyllina

Agency on Monitoring and Forecast of Emergency Situations, Moscow

Abstract: The model of actions of the population at accident on chemical dangerous object taking into account the level of knowledge of people is presented. The model allows to determine the rational frequency of mailing of the messages realized by means of services of cellular communication and to estimate an informing contribution to realization of protective measures. Results of modeling will be the basis for recommendations about informing various categories of the population in the conditions of emergency situations.

Keywords: system dynamics, accident, chemical dangerous object, probability of defeat, informing population, message, protective actions.



© Steklov Math. Inst. of RAS, 2024