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News of the Kabardino-Balkarian Scientific Center of the Russian Academy of Sciences, 2023 Issue 2, Pages 18–29 (Mi izkab677)

Computer science and information processes

Educational data mining for predicting the academic performance of university students

N. A. Popovaa, E. S. Egorovab

a Penza State University, 440026, Russia, Penza, 40 Krasnaya street
b Penza State Technological University, 440039, Russia, Penza, 1a/11 Baidukova passage/Gagarina street

Abstract: Progress in the field of data mining makes it possible to use educational data to improve the quality of educational processes. This article examines various methods of analyzing student achievement data. The focus is on two aspects: first, predicting students' academic achievements at the end of a four-year undergraduate curriculum; second, examining typical student progressions and combining them with the prediction results. Approximately 10 classification algorithms were used in the prediction process. An approach to improving the performance of classification methods is proposed where classifier attributes are selected during their training. Two important groups of students were identified: low-achieving and high-achieving students. The results show that by focusing on a small number of courses that are indicators of particularly good or poor performance, it is possible to prevent and support low-achieving students in a timely manner, and to provide advice and opportunities to high-achieving students.

Keywords: analysis of educational data, decision tree, clustering, forecasting, academic performance, dissociation.

UDC: 004.89

MSC: 68Ò09

Received: 29.03.2023
Revised: 07.04.2023
Accepted: 10.04.2023

DOI: 10.35330/1991-6639-2023-2-112-18-29



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