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JOURNALS // Matematicheskoe modelirovanie // Archive

Mat. Model., 2003 Volume 15, Number 12, Pages 75–80 (Mi mm366)

Historical share's behavior accounting

D. N. Zhabin

Tomsk Polytechnic University

Abstract: The models where stock is a lognormal distributed random process are the routine ones. But these models ignore a possible sensitivities of a share's price to the last quotations. In present paper a mathematical model of such kind “memory” accounting is proposed. The model is in concordance with basis postulates of financial mathematics. A contribution of historical stock's behavior is taking into account as additive component in stochastic differential. The effect of the “memory” presence is characterized by time interval $\tau$ that defines the size of the “memory” in the past. A size of the contribution from moment passed is described by weight function.

Received: 13.02.2003



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