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JOURNALS // Matematicheskoe modelirovanie // Archive

Mat. Model., 2020 Volume 32, Number 3, Pages 127–142 (Mi mm4167)

Predictive modeling of mass-transfer technological plant using an algorithm of alternating conditional expectations

I. S. Mozharovskyab, S. A. Samotylovaac, A. Yu. Torgashovac

a Institute of Automation and Control Processes FEB RAS, Vladivostok
b Vladivostok State University of Economics and Service, Vladivostok
c Far Eastern Federal University, Vladivostok

Abstract: The task of predictive modelling under conditions of nonlinearity of a mass-transfer plant (MTP) on the basis of experimental data is considered. To analyze the structural identifiability of the process under study and identify factors that affect the accuracy of the structural identifiability index with an unknown model structure, a technique based on an alternating conditional expectation (ACE) algorithm with a threshold value for the structural identifiability index of the MTP model is proposed. The threshold value of the structural identifiability index is determined based on the analytical model of the object. That is taking into account the physico-chemical characteristics of the MTP. The proposed approach is illustrated using synthetic data and experimental data.

Keywords: ACE algorithm, index of structural identifiability, mass-transfer plant, predictive modeling.

Received: 10.09.2019
Revised: 10.09.2019
Accepted: 21.10.2019

DOI: 10.20948/mm-2020-03-08


 English version:
Mathematical Models and Computer Simulations, 2020, 12:6, 915–925


© Steklov Math. Inst. of RAS, 2025