Abstract:
Building on the model of information warfare between the authorities and the opposition,
some typical political scenarios are considered. The first scenario is characterized by the
party in the office having an advantage in the resource of propaganda broadcasting, but
the opposition's propaganda messages being more viral. In the second scenario, the values of these parameters are equal. When analyzing each of the situations, three strategies
for distributing a limited broadcast resource for each of the two parties are considered:
increasing, decreasing and flat ones. For example, the increasing strategy is characterized
by low intensity of broadcasting at the beginning of the confrontation and high intensity
at the end. Comparison of each of the three strategies of the party in power with each of
the strategies of the opposition allows to construct a matrix game in which the payoff is
the difference in the numbers of supporters of the parties at the end of the confrontation.
The solution of this game determines the most profitable strategy for a given political
situation.
Keywords:mathematical modeling, information warfare, "Power-Society" system, differential equations, numerical experiment.