Abstract:
The results of global biosphere dynamics modeling under anthropogenic activity are presented. Calculations are based on a new version of a global atmosphere – plants – soil system carbon cycle model having high spatial resolution $0.5\times 0.5$ deg. at geographical grid. The carbon dioxide emissions to atmosphere, which originate from fossil fuels burning, deforestation and soil erosion are taken into consideration. The forecasts of carbon dynamics and carbon balance for whole the biosphere and for the countries and ecotypes are calculated. It was calculated that an effect of 10-year delay in initiating of the Kyoto Protocol on United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change would be small.
Estimations of fulfilment of Le Chatellier principle are made.