About relationship between the need for medical care and the distribution of life expectancy

The article considers the possibility of forecasting the need for medical care of the population using the density distribution of life expectancy and the probabilistic dependence of the need for medical care by age. The relationship between the distribution of life expectancy and age distribution of patients is established. It is expressed by the average life expectancy.
An example of the distribution of life expectancy is given. It is presented in graphical form, showing the form of the found approximation together with the actual data. By approximation, the distribution of life expectancy is calculated.
The probability of dependence of the need for medical care by age is given in the article on the basis of statistical data, presented in graphical form. Since there is a relationship between this dependence and the distribution of patients by age, the forecasting of the need for medical care is realized. Examples of calculation for specific ages are given, the possibility of calculation for all ages is indicated.
As a result, the study identified the possibility of predicting the need for medical care on the basis of data on life expectancy. (In Russian).