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JOURNALS // Problemy Upravleniya // Archive

Probl. Upr., 2014 Issue 3, Pages 29–37 (Mi pu848)

Control in the socio-economic systems

Leading indicators of business cycles in the developed countries and transformation economies: the comparative analysis

L. P. Zen'kova

Belarusian State University of Trade and Economics of Consumer's Cooperation

Abstract: The issues of economic system control under cyclicity of development are considered. The comparative analysis of conceptual approaches to techniques of revealing the leading indicators of business cycle for transformation economies is given. The necessity of the specified indicators ranging both for short and medium term cycles is proven. The results of revealing the leading indicators for Bulgaria, Byelorussia, Russia, and Ukraine on the basis of processing of extensive statistical base with use of author's methodology are presented.

Keywords: business cycle, transformation economy, leading indicator, phases of a cycle, dating of phases, rotary zone.

UDC: 330.33.01+330.342



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