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JOURNALS // Sibirskii Matematicheskii Zhurnal // Archive

Sibirsk. Mat. Zh., 2005 Volume 46, Number 6, Pages 1335–1340 (Mi smj1043)

This article is cited in 8 papers

The critical case of the Cramer–Lundberg theorem on the asymptotic tail behavior of the maximum of a negative drift random walk

D. A. Korshunov

Sobolev Institute of Mathematics, Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences

Abstract: We study the asymptotic tail behavior of the maximum $M=\max\{0,S_n,n\geqslant1\}$ of partial sums $S_n=\xi_1+\dots+\xi_n$ of independent identically distributed random variables $\xi_1,\xi_2,\dots$ with negative mean. We consider the so-called Cramer case when there exists a $\beta>0$ such that $\mathbf Ee^{\beta\xi_1}=1$. The celebrated Cramer–Lundberg approximation states the exponential decay of the large deviation probabilities of $M$ provided that $\mathbf E\xi_1e^{\beta\xi_1}$ is finite. In the present article we basically study the critical case $\mathbf E\xi_1e^{\beta\xi_1}=\infty$.

Keywords: maximum of a random walk, probabilities of large deviations, light tails, exponential change of measure, truncated mean value function.

UDC: 519.214

Received: 29.11.2004


 English version:
Siberian Mathematical Journal, 2005, 46:6, 1077–1081

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