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JOURNALS // Sistemy i Sredstva Informatiki [Systems and Means of Informatics] // Archive

Sistemy i Sredstva Inform., 2021 Volume 31, Issue 3, Pages 88–100 (Mi ssi784)

Methodology for assessing production risks for developing weapons and military equipment

A. V. Bosova, A. A. Kryukovb

a Federal Research Center "Computer Science and Control" of the Russian Academy of Sciences, 44-2 Vavilov Str., Moscow 119333, Russian Federation
b Almaz-Antey Air and Space Defence Corporation, 41 Vereyskaya Str., Moscow 121471, Russian Federation

Abstract: A methodology for assessing production risks at the stage of research and development work (R&D) in the development of high-tech products is presented. To take into account the complex classification of production risks, various sources of their occurrence, and spheres of influence on the R&D result, it is proposed to introduce a combined methodological approach and assess production risks partly by statistical methods and partly by the method of expert assessments. The content of the stages of the corresponding methodology is considered. The method of calculating the integral assessment of production risk and the scale of the levels of production risks of the project in accordance with the nature of the impact and acceptability are substantiated.

Keywords: methodology for assessing industrial risks, experimental and design works, method of expert assessments, statistical methods.

Received: 30.06.2021

DOI: 10.14357/08696527210308



© Steklov Math. Inst. of RAS, 2024