The problems of goal setting in the hardware and software complex “Safe City”

The article analyzes conceptual approaches to the creation of the agro-industrial complex “Safe City” from the standpoint of sound goal-setting taking into account the need to consider such an indicator as the predicted damage from possible emergencies. Using real examples and a specific model, it is shown that for a real assessment of the degree of risks of various types of emergencies, it is necessary to move away from the established practice of fixed risk assessment without taking into account specific conditions in the regions and all factors influencing their real value, for which it is necessary to create a system for calculating the predicted damage. The main approaches for calculating the predicted damage are considered. It is proved that one of the main directions of using indicators of predicted risk is to determine the amount of possible economically feasible costs for emergency prevention.