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JOURNALS // Trudy Instituta Matematiki i Mekhaniki UrO RAN // Archive

Trudy Inst. Mat. i Mekh. UrO RAN, 2011 Volume 17, Number 2, Pages 271–299 (Mi timm712)

This article is cited in 3 papers

Optimal growth in a two-sector economy facing an expected random shock

Sergey Aseevab, Konstantin Besova, Simon-Erik Ollusc, Tapio Palokangasd

a Steklov Mathematical Institute, Moscow, Russia
b International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria
c Fortum Corporation, Fortum, Finland
d University of Helsinki and HECER, Helsinki, Finland

Abstract: We develop an optimal growth model of an open economy that uses both an old (“dirty” or “polluting”) technology and a new (“clean”) technology simultaneously. A planner of the economy expects the occurrence of a random shock that increases sharply abatement costs in the dirty sector. Assuming that the probability of an exogenous environmental shock is distributed according to the exponential law, we use Pontryagins maximum principle to find the optimal investment and consumption policies for the economy.

Keywords: dynamic optimization, optimal control, Pontryagin's maximum principle, endogenous growth, climate change, random shock, government policy, technological development.

UDC: 517.977

Received: 04.08.2010

Language: English


 English version:
Proceedings of the Steklov Institute of Mathematics (Supplementary issues), 2012, 276, suppl. 1, S4–S34

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