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JOURNALS // Trudy Matematicheskogo Instituta imeni V.A. Steklova // Archive

Trudy Mat. Inst. Steklova, 2014 Volume 287, Pages 211–233 (Mi tm3591)

This article is cited in 5 papers

Two-sided disorder problem for a Brownian motion in a Bayesian setting

A. A. Muravlevab, A. N. Shiryaevca

a Steklov Mathematical Institute of Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia
b International Laboratory of Quantitative Finance, National Research University Higher School of Economics, Moscow, Russia
c M. V. Lomonosov Moscow State University, Faculty of Mechanics and Mathematics, Moscow, Russia

Abstract: A two-sided disorder problem for a Brownian motion in a Bayesian setting is considered. It is shown how to reduce this problem to the standard optimal stopping problem for a posterior probability process. Qualitative properties of a solution are analyzed; namely, the concavity, continuity, and the smooth-fit principle for the risk function are proved. Optimal stopping boundaries are characterized as a unique solution to some integral equation.

UDC: 519.244

Received in October 2014

DOI: 10.1134/S0371968514040128


 English version:
Proceedings of the Steklov Institute of Mathematics, 2014, 287:1, 202–224

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