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JOURNALS // Teoriya Veroyatnostei i ee Primeneniya // Archive

Teor. Veroyatnost. i Primenen., 1971 Volume 16, Issue 4, Pages 729–734 (Mi tvp2335)

This article is cited in 33 papers

Short Communications

The “disorder” problem for a Poisson process

L. I. Galtčhuk, B. L. Razovskiĭ

Moscow

Abstract: The paper considers a Bayesian problem of detecting the “disorder” for the process $\xi(t)$.
It is shown (Theorem 1) that the optimal decision rule minimizing the risk (1) is the first time at which the a posteriori probability $\pi_t$ enters the set $[\lambda/(\lambda+c),1]$.

Received: 07.06.1969


 English version:
Theory of Probability and its Applications, 1971, 16:4, 712–716

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