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Large Sample Change-Point Estimation when Distributions Are Unknown
A. A. Borovkov Sobolev Institute of Mathematics, Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences
Abstract:
Let $\textrm{X}=(\textrm{x}_1,\textrm{x}_2,\dots,\textrm{x}_n)$ be a sample consisting of
$n$ independent observations in an arbitrary measurable space
$\mathscr{X}$ such that the first
$\theta$ observations have a distribution
$F$ while the remaining
$n-\theta$ ones follow
$G\neq F$, the distributions
$F$ and
$G$ being unknown and quantities
$n$ and
$\theta$ large. In [A. A. Borovkov and Yu. Yu. Linke,
Math. Methods Statist., 14 (2005), pp. 404–430] there were constructed estimators
$\theta^*$ of the change-point
$\theta$ that have proper error (i.e., such that
$P_\theta\{|\theta^*-\theta|>k\}$ tends to zero as
$k$ grows to infinity), under the assumption that we know a function
$h$ for which the mean values of
$h(\textrm{x}_j)$ under the distributions
$F$ and
$G$ are different from each other. Sequential procedures were also presented in that paper. In the present paper, we obtain similar results under a weakened form of the above assumption or even in its absence. One such weaker version assumes that we have functions
$h_1,h_2,\ldots,h_l$ on
$\mathscr{X}$ such that for at least one of them the mean values of
$h_j(\textrm{x}_i)$ are different under
$F$ and
$G$. Another version does not assume the existence of known to us functions
$h_j$, but allows the possibility of estimating the unknown distributions
$F$ and
$G$ from the initial and terminal segments of the sample
$\textrm{X}$. Sequential procedures are also dealt with.
Keywords:
change-point problem for unknown distributions, change-point, sequential estimation. Received: 08.08.2006
DOI:
10.4213/tvp2441