Abstract:
In the presence of an uncertainty factor, that is, if
some variable $X$ assumes several values
$x_1,\ldots, x_n$ rather than a single value, one usually performs
an averaging over these values
with some coefficients (measures) $\alpha_i$ such that $\sum_{i=1}^n\alpha_i=1$ and sets
$y=\sum\alpha_ix_i$. For an equity market, there arises a
nonlinear averaging for $y$. We consider
an averaging of the form $f(y)=\sum\alpha_if_i(x_i)$.
Starting from four natural axioms, we prove
that either the above-mentioned linear averaging holds,
or $y=\log\sum_{i=1}^ne^{x_i}$. An
example of a stock price breakout under this summation is given.
Keywords:expectation, uncertainty factor, value of a random variable, profit, bank, stock, financial dynamics, stock price breakout.