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JOURNALS // Teoriya Veroyatnostei i ee Primeneniya // Archive

Teor. Veroyatnost. i Primenen., 2003 Volume 48, Issue 4, Pages 800–810 (Mi tvp258)

This article is cited in 18 papers

Short Communications

Nonlinear averaging axioms in financial mathematics and stock price dynamics

V. P. Maslov

M. V. Lomonosov Moscow State University

Abstract: In the presence of an uncertainty factor, that is, if some variable $X$ assumes several values $x_1,\ldots, x_n$ rather than a single value, one usually performs an averaging over these values with some coefficients (measures) $\alpha_i$ such that $\sum_{i=1}^n\alpha_i=1$ and sets $y=\sum\alpha_ix_i$. For an equity market, there arises a nonlinear averaging for $y$. We consider an averaging of the form $f(y)=\sum\alpha_if_i(x_i)$. Starting from four natural axioms, we prove that either the above-mentioned linear averaging holds, or $y=\log\sum_{i=1}^ne^{x_i}$. An example of a stock price breakout under this summation is given.

Keywords: expectation, uncertainty factor, value of a random variable, profit, bank, stock, financial dynamics, stock price breakout.

Received: 20.10.2003

DOI: 10.4213/tvp258


 English version:
Theory of Probability and its Applications, 2004, 48:4, 723–733

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