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Short Communications
A sequential test for two simple hypotheses about the mean of a Wiener process with delayed observations
T. P. Mirošničenko Moscow
Abstract:
The estimation problem of an unknown random parameter
$\theta=\theta(\omega)$ is studied in the case when
$\theta$ takes values 1 and 0 with probabilities
$\pi_0$,
$1-\pi_0$, respectively, and the observed process is
$$
\xi_t(\omega)=r\theta(\omega)t+\sigma W_t(\omega),\qquad\sigma>0,\qquad r\ne 0,\qquad t\ge 0,
$$
where
$W$ is a standard Wiener process.
Denote by
$\tau=\tau(\omega)$ a Markov time with respect to the family of
$\sigma$-algebras $\mathscr F_{\tau}^{\xi}=\sigma\{\xi_s,\,s\le t\}$, and by
$d=d(\omega)$ a decision function which is
$\mathscr F_{\tau+m}^{\xi}$-measurable, where
$m\ge 0$ is the delay time.
We find a pair
$(\tau,d)$ which minimizes
$$
\mathbf M[c\tau+a\chi_{(d=0,\theta=1)}+b\chi_{(d=1,\theta=0)}],
$$
where
$a$,
$b$,
$c$ are positive constants,
$\chi_A$ is the characterictic function of a set
$A$ .
Received: 28.04.1976