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JOURNALS // Teoriya Veroyatnostei i ee Primeneniya // Archive

Teor. Veroyatnost. i Primenen., 1972 Volume 17, Issue 4, Pages 752–755 (Mi tvp4350)

Short Communications

On a problem of choosing the order of dependent trials

I. B. Gercbah

Riga

Abstract: A sequence of trials with numbers $1,\dots,n$ is considered. The order of trials is given by a permutation $\tau_n=(i_1,\dots,i_n)$. The probability $p_{i_k}(m)$ of the success in the $k$-th trial depends only on the total number $m$ of successes in $k-1$ previous trials. Conditions are given for $\tau^*=(n, n-1,\dots,1)$ to maximize the expected total number of successes.

Received: 06.11.1970


 English version:
Theory of Probability and its Applications, 1973, 17:4, 709–712

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