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JOURNALS // Teoriya Veroyatnostei i ee Primeneniya // Archive

Teor. Veroyatnost. i Primenen., 2000 Volume 45, Issue 3, Pages 607–615 (Mi tvp491)

This article is cited in 62 papers

Short Communications

The survival probability of a critical branching process in random environment

J. Geiger, G. Kersting

Universität Frankfurt am Main, Fachbereich Mathematik, Deutschland

Abstract: In this paper we determine the asymptotic behavior of the survival probability of a critical branching process in a random environment. In the special case of independent identically distributed geometric offspring distributions, and the somewhat more general case of offspring distributions with linear fractional generating functions, Kozlov proved that, as $n\to\infty$, the probability of nonextinction at generation $n$ is proportional to $n^{-1/2}$. We establish Kozlov's asymptotic for general independent identically distributed offspring distributions.

Keywords: branching processes, random environments, conditioned random walks.

Received: 02.09.1999

Language: English

DOI: 10.4213/tvp491


 English version:
Theory of Probability and its Applications, 2001, 45:3, 517–525

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