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JOURNALS // Teoriya Veroyatnostei i ee Primeneniya // Archive

Teor. Veroyatnost. i Primenen., 2000 Volume 45, Issue 4, Pages 768–773 (Mi tvp507)

Short Communications

On the asymptotic optimality of the Bayesian decision rule in the problem of multiple classification of hypotheses

A. S. Rybakov

Essential Administration of Information Systems

Abstract: This paper considers the problem of constructing a k-element decision set for a totality of m hypotheses concerning the form of the polynomial distribution. In the paper of [Theory Probab. Appl., 43 (1998), pp. 239–255] upper and lower estimates were obtained for the asymptotics of the maximum of logarithms of probabilities of errors of the ith kind, i.e., the probabilities for the optimally constructed k-element decision set not containing the index $i$ under the condition that i is the number of the true hypothesis. In the present paper we establish the coincidence of these estimates and, thus, make the result of Salikhov somewhat complete. As this is so, it is implicitly assumed that the prior distribution on the totality of m hypotheses is uniform. Moreover, in passing, the asymptotic optimality of the Bayesian method of construction of the decision set is established.

Keywords: multiple classification of hypotheses, maximum of probabilities of errors of the ith kind, Bayesian decision set.

Received: 30.08.1999

DOI: 10.4213/tvp507


 English version:
Theory of Probability and its Applications, 2001, 45:4, 690–695

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