RUS  ENG
Full version
JOURNALS // Teoriya Veroyatnostei i ee Primeneniya // Archive

Teor. Veroyatnost. i Primenen., 2018 Volume 63, Issue 4, Pages 683–712 (Mi tvp5169)

Bayesian sequential testing problem for a Brownian bridge

D. I. Lisovskii

Steklov Mathematical Institute of Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow

Abstract: The present paper gives a solution to the Bayesian sequential testing problem of two simple hypotheses about the mean of a Brownian bridge. The method of the proof is based on reducing the sequential analysis problem to the optimal stopping problem for a strong Markov posterior probability process. The key idea in solving the above problem is the application of the one-to-one Kolmogorov time-space transformation, which enables one to consider, instead of the optimal stopping problem on a finite time horizon for a time-inhomogeneous diffusion process, an optimal stopping problem on an infinite time horizon for a homogeneous diffusion process with a slightly more complicated risk functional. The continuation and stopping sets are determined by two continuous boundaries, which constitute a unique solution of a system of two nonlinear integral equations.

Keywords: sequential analysis, hypothesis testing problem, optimal stopping problem, Brownian bridge, Kolmogorov time-space transformation.

Received: 23.10.2017
Revised: 29.06.2018

DOI: 10.4213/tvp5169


 English version:
Theory of Probability and its Applications, 2019, 63:4, 556–579

Bibliographic databases:


© Steklov Math. Inst. of RAS, 2024