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JOURNALS // Teoriya Veroyatnostei i ee Primeneniya // Archive

Teor. Veroyatnost. i Primenen., 2022 Volume 67, Issue 3, Pages 489–518 (Mi tvp5473)

A Gibbs conditional theorem under extreme deviation

M. Biret, M. Broniatowski, Z. Cao

Laboratoire de probabilités, statistique et modélisation, Sorbonne Université, Paris, France

Abstract: We explore some properties of the conditional distribution of an independently and identically distributed (i.i.d.) sample under large exceedances of its sum. Thresholds for the asymptotic independence of the summands are observed, in contrast with the classical case when the conditioning event is in the range of a large deviation. This paper is an extension of Broniatowski and Cao [Extremes, 17 (2014), pp. 305–336]. Tools include a new Edgeworth expansion adapted to specific triangular arrays, where the rows are generated by tilted distribution with diverging parameters, and some Abelian type results.

Keywords: Gibbs conditional principle, extreme deviation.

Received: 31.12.2020
Revised: 06.11.2021

DOI: 10.4213/tvp5473


 English version:
Theory of Probability and its Applications, 2022, 67:3, 389–414

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© Steklov Math. Inst. of RAS, 2024