Abstract:
Probability theory deals with limit theorems, which consider limits (when
time tends to infinity) of some functions (observables) on a sample space, or
averages of these observables over an infinite time interval. But what is
happening in a finite time or over finite time intervals? Such questions,
important for virtually all applications, seem to be intractable
mathematically (and generally sound unreasonable). For instance,
equilibrium statistical mechanics deals with phase transitions (a number of
equilibrium probability distributions/states) rather than time evolution, while nonequilibrium statistical mechanics is concerned with
convergence of nonequilibrium states to equilibrium ones. Again, such
processes occur on infinite time intervals. It turns out, however, that there
are natural and reasonable questions about finite time dynamics of random and
deterministic chaotic systems, which can be answered and, moreover,
rigorously answered. This allows one to make predictions about a finite time
evolution of such systems.
Keywords:finite time dynamics, first passage probabilities, correlations of words, fair dicelike systems.