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JOURNALS // Teoriya Veroyatnostei i ee Primeneniya // Archive

Teor. Veroyatnost. i Primenen., 1998 Volume 43, Issue 1, Pages 152–161 (Mi tvp885)

This article is cited in 16 papers

Short Communications

Hedging of options with a given probability

A. A. Novikov

Steklov Mathematical Institute, Russian Academy of Sciences

Abstract: We consider a model of a complete market with two assets under the suggestion that an investor may hedge the payoff function with the given probability; in other words, the investor should have capital not less than the given payoff function with probability not less than $1-\alpha$ ($\alpha $ is a given significance level). Under some limitations on a class of hedging strategies we find a lower bound for an option price (that is, for the initial capital of the investor) and construct a hedge (the investor strategy) for which this lower bound is achieved. For examples, we calculate the price and hedge of a European call option and also an American call option with a barrier condition.

Keywords: financial mathematics, martingales, likelihood ratio, contingent claims.

DOI: 10.4213/tvp885


 English version:
Theory of Probability and its Applications, 1999, 43:1, 135–143

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