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JOURNALS // Upravlenie Bol'shimi Sistemami // Archive

UBS, 2012 Issue 40, Pages 83–95 (Mi ubs634)

Mathematical Control Theory

Estimation of rare events probabilities in simulation computrt experiments

Yu. Agalakov

Research Institute for Automatic Equipment named Acad. V.S. Semenichin

Abstract: Computational experiments with simulation models for computer networks are performed to estimate various networkscharacteristics, for example, to check if a network satisfies requirements on a probability of delivering messages within a given time interval. If the probability of non-delivering is very small, this rare event may not occur during computational modeling experiments. We propose the design of computational experiments performed to check requirements on the probability of non-delivering as well as the method for experimental data processing

Keywords: computer networks, simulating modeling, rare event probabilities, design for simulating experiments.

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