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JOURNALS // Upravlenie Bol'shimi Sistemami // Archive

UBS, 2017 Issue 65, Pages 153–169 (Mi ubs908)

This article is cited in 1 paper

Control in Social and Economic Systems

Migration modeling: an extension of gravity model

V. V. Shumov

International Informatization Academy, Moscow

Abstract: We consider an extension of the gravity model of migration taking into account attracting and intermediate factors. Our model is based on the experimental analysis of legal migration and factors influencing its intensity. A rule of destination country selection by migrants is formulated. We propose a novel index of administrative regime which reflects how favorable the migration law and regulations are in the given country. The model parameters are estimated from statistical data. The ethnic heterogeneity of former USSR countries was estimated from 2009-2014 years data.

Keywords: laws of migration, gravity model, ethnic heterogeneity.

UDC: 519.876.2
BBK: 32.81

Received: September 19, 2015
Published: January 31, 2017



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