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JOURNALS // Vestnik of Astrakhan State Technical University. Series: Management, Computer Sciences and Informatics // Archive

Vestn. Astrakhan State Technical Univ. Ser. Management, Computer Sciences and Informatics, 2017 Number 3, Pages 31–39 (Mi vagtu490)

This article is cited in 1 paper

MATHEMATICAL MODELING

Building risk models for describing security functions on protecting outer perimeters of the organization

S. G. Magomedova, V. F. Shurshevb, G. A. Popovb, A. F. Dorokhovb, M. F. Rudenkob

a Moscow Technological University
b Astrakhan State Technical University

Abstract: The paper considers the problem of estimating the costs and losses associated with the degree of protection of the external perimeters of the object of protection against possible unauthorized actions, based on the construction of a mathematical model. Two main components related to the protection of objects have been identified: security service based on the activities of security groups; technical protection service based on the use of modern technical means of protection. The authors have obtained the relations for the average costs and losses associated with each of these services, as well as for the likelihood that the violator will be able to overcome the external perimeter of the object, despite attempts to counteract these services. New characteristics of the protection system have been introduced — indicators of reliability and qualifications of the security officer, which are taken into account in the assessment process. The possibility of using heuristic conclusions in the analysis of weakly structured characteristics, such as many of the probabilities associated with security actions, has been demonstrated. The obtained relationships can be used for setting and solving the problem of minimizing losses associated with providing security activity at the protection object to prevent malicious acts.

Keywords: object of protection, perimeters protection, security group, technical means of protection, total costs and losses, probability of violation, model building.

UDC: 654.9:004.7.056

Received: 02.06.2017

DOI: 10.24143/2072-9502-2017-3-31-39



© Steklov Math. Inst. of RAS, 2024