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JOURNALS // Vestnik of Astrakhan State Technical University. Series: Management, Computer Sciences and Informatics // Archive

Vestn. Astrakhan State Technical Univ. Ser. Management, Computer Sciences and Informatics, 2020 Number 2, Pages 95–108 (Mi vagtu630)

SOCIAL AND ECONOMIC SYSTEMS MANAGEMENT

Mathematical methods and algorithms for data mining in IT project investment attractiveness estimation

E. V. Chertina, A. E. Kvyatkovskaya, L. B. Aminul, K. I. Kvyatkovskii

Astrakhan State Technical University, Astrakhan, Russian Federation

Abstract: The article is concerned with developing mathematical support and algorithms for solving the problem of economic diagnostics of enterprises. IT-companies and start-ups (IT projects) that have special characteristics during the growth period were selected as the object of research. Based on the system analysis of data domain there has been developed a system of quantitative and qualitative characteristics to identify the economic state of the IT companies and start-ups in the external and internal environment. Scales of indices of different nature have been determined. Methods to introduce order and equivalence relations for the found peer companies have been given in order to compare their proximity to the analyzed company. Metrics used for comparing the companies are considered taking into account the quantitative and qualitative characteristics. The possibilities of distributing innovative IT projects using fuzzy clustering algorithms are considered. The comparative analysis of two basic algorithms — Fuzzy Classifier Means algorithm and Gustafson–Kessel algorithm — has been given. The clustering procedure for each algorithm is shown, as well as the graphic results of their operation. There was done the clustering quality assessment using a distribution coefficient, entropy of classification, and Hie-Beni index. It has been inferred that using Gustafson–Kessel algorithm provides better results for solving the problem of splitting IT projects for their economic diagnostics.

Keywords: IT start-up, case-based reasoning, precedents, peer company, comparative method, fuzzy clustering, Gustafson–Kessel algorithm, FCM.

UDC: 004.43:519.712

Received: 13.03.2020

Language: English

DOI: 10.24143/2072-9502-2020-2-95-108



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