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JOURNALS // Vestnik KRAUNC. Fiziko-Matematicheskie Nauki // Archive

Vestnik KRAUNC. Fiz.-Mat. Nauki, 2016 Number 2(13), Pages 55–61 (Mi vkam132)

This article is cited in 1 paper

MATHEMATICAL MODELING

On a dynamic hereditarity system that simulates the economic cycle

D. V. Makarov

Vitus Bering Kamchatka State University, 683031, Petropavlovsk-Kamchatsky, Pogranichnaya st., 4, Russia

Abstract: The paper presents a mathematical model that generalizes the famous Kondratiev cycles model (model Dubovskiy) used to predict economic crises. This generalization is to integrate the memory effect, which occurs frequently in the economic system. With the help of numerical methods, to receive a generalized model, according to which the phase paths have been built.

Keywords: cycles, the economic crisis, the model Dubovskiy, fractional derivative operator Gerasimova-Caputo, a memory effect, the fractal dimension.

UDC: 517. 925.42

MSC: 93A30

Received: 25.03.2016

DOI: 10.18454/2079-6641-2016-13-2-55-61


 English version:
Bulletin KRASEC. Physical and Mathematical Sciences, 2016, 13:2, 50–56

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