Abstract:
The methods of statistical modeling are used to define the tendencies of climate elements dynamics. Degree of stability completeness of the tendencies was estimated by means of coefficient of ranks correlation of Ch. Spearmen. It is received that in dynamics of the average annual and seasonal sums of an atmospheric precipitation and air temperature in mountain zone KChR the tendency of increase in summer temperature during 1959-2017 and also summer and annual air temperature during 1976-2017 are statistically significant. Degree of stability completeness is moderate.
Keywords:mathematical and statistical modeling, precipitation, surface air temperature, dangerous natural processes.