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JOURNALS // Vestnik KRAUNC. Fiziko-Matematicheskie Nauki // Archive

Vestnik KRAUNC. Fiz.-Mat. Nauki, 2018 Number 3(23), Pages 106–115 (Mi vkam261)

This article is cited in 3 papers

MATHEMATICAL MODELING OF DYNAMIC SYSTEMS

The research on stability of tendencies of climate elements in the highlands of Karachay-Cherkessia from 1959 to 2017

E. A. Korchagina

Kabardino-Balkarian scientific center of the Russian Academy of Sciences, 360002, Nalchik,  Balkarova st., 2, Russia

Abstract: The methods of statistical modeling are used to define the tendencies of climate elements dynamics. Degree of stability completeness of the tendencies was estimated by means of coefficient of ranks correlation of Ch. Spearmen. It is received that in dynamics of the average annual and seasonal sums of an atmospheric precipitation and air temperature in mountain zone KChR the tendency of increase in summer temperature during 1959-2017 and also summer and annual air temperature during 1976-2017 are statistically significant. Degree of stability completeness is moderate.

Keywords: mathematical and statistical modeling, precipitation, surface air temperature,  dangerous natural processes.

UDC: 517+551.5+551.3

MSC: 86A10

Received: 08.06.2018

DOI: 10.18454/2079-6641-2018-23-3-106-115



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