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JOURNALS // Vestnik KRAUNC. Fiziko-Matematicheskie Nauki // Archive

Vestnik KRAUNC. Fiz.-Mat. Nauki, 2018 Number 4(24), Pages 133–147 (Mi vkam316)

MATHEMATICAL MODELING

Model of some predictive anomalies in the field of subsoil radon of earthquakes with $M \geq 5.5$ in Kamchatka peninsula

E. O. Makarovab, P. P. Firstova

a Kamchatka Branch, Geophysical Survey, Russian Academy of Sciences, Petropavlovsk-Kamchatsky
b Kamchatka State University named after Vitus Bering

Abstract: At the Petropavlovsk-Kamchatsky geodynamic test site, for almost 20 years, a network of monitoring stations for subsoil radon has been operating. During the work, a number of anomalies were registered, which preceded earthquakes with a magnitude $M > 5$, which by morphological features are divided into two types (A, B). The paper analyzed in detail the mechanism of occurrence of type B anomalies on the basis of a mathematical model for the propagation of radon in a stream of groundwater with complete transverse mixing. An attempt was made to link some features of the appearance of predictive anomalies of type B with the areas of occurrence of earthquakes.

Keywords: radon, mathematical modeling, radon anomaly, earthquake pridiction, Kamchatka, radon monitoring, geothermal reservoir, deformation.

UDC: 550.8.056

MSC: 86A17

Received: 28.06.2018

DOI: 10.18454/2079-6641-2018-24-4-133-147



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© Steklov Math. Inst. of RAS, 2024