RUS  ENG
Full version
JOURNALS // Vestnik KRAUNC. Fiziko-Matematicheskie Nauki // Archive

Vestnik KRAUNC. Fiz.-Mat. Nauki, 2022 Volume 39, Number 2, Pages 103–118 (Mi vkam541)

MATHEMATICAL MODELING

Numerical implementation of a mathematical model (SEIRD) based on data from the spread of the fifth wave of COVID-19 in russia and regions

A. F. Tsakhoeva, D. D. Shigin

North Ossetian State University named after K. L. Khetagurov

Abstract: In the present paper, a fractional-order epidemic model with operator called the Caputo operator for the transmission of COVID-19 epidemic is analyzed. This model takes into account the following groups of people: susceptible (S), exposed (E), infected (I), recovered (R) and deceased (D). The model is called SEIRD, from the first letters of the names of the described groups. Calculations are based on public data on incidence in Russia and the following subjects: Moscow, St. Petersburg and Kamchatka Krai.

Keywords: fractional-order derivative, COVID-19, SEIRD model.

UDC: 519.622.2

MSC: 65L05

DOI: 10.26117/2079-6641-2022-39-2-103-118



Bibliographic databases:


© Steklov Math. Inst. of RAS, 2024