S. V. Astafurov, N. G. Granin, A. V. Dimaki, S. G. Psakhie, V. V. Ruzhich, E. V. Shilko, “Investigation of the Relationship of the Deformation and Seismic Activity in the Block-Structured Ice Massifs. Possibilities of Prediction of Strong “Icequakes”. Model Study on the Ice Cover of Lake Baikal”, Vestn. Novosib. Gos. Univ., Ser. Mat. Mekh. Inform., 2013, Volume 13, Issue 3,Pages <nobr>3

Investigation of the Relationship of the Deformation and Seismic Activity in the Block-Structured Ice Massifs. Possibilities of Prediction of Strong “Icequakes”. Model Study on the Ice Cover of Lake Baikal

S. V. Astafurov^a, N. G. Granin^b, A. V. Dimaki^a, S. G. Psakhie^a, V. V. Ruzhich^c, E. V. Shilko^a

^a Institute of Strength Physics and Materials Science, Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences
^b Limnological Institute of the Siberian Branch of the RAS
^c Institute of the Earth’s Crust, Siberian Branch of the RAS

Abstract: The paper describes the main patterns of seismic manifestations of deformation processes in block-structured ice covers of large waterbodies by the example of the ice cover of Lake Baikal. The possibility of “short-” and “intermediate-term” forecasting of large-scale dynamic phenomena associated with the thrust of ice plates is discussed.

Keywords: ice cover, block structure, convergence of ice plates, seismic manifestations, seismic precursors.

UDC: 53.09;550.34

Received: 06.07.2012