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JOURNALS // Vestnik TVGU. Seriya: Prikladnaya Matematika [Herald of Tver State University. Series: Applied Mathematics] // Archive

Vestnik TVGU. Ser. Prikl. Matem. [Herald of Tver State University. Ser. Appl. Math.], 2019 Issue 3, Pages 74–89 (Mi vtpmk541)

System Analysis, Control and Data Processing

Algorithm for finding the moment of a trend change in the time series of meteorological variables

A. Kuznetsov, A. G. Saenko, O. Serouhova, T. Simakina

Russian State Hydrometeorological University, Saint-Petersburg

Abstract: An algorithm is proposed for finding the bifurcation point in a time series, and its implementation is performed over time series of air temperatures. The influence of the measurement error on the stability of finding the bifurcation point is simulated.

Keywords: time series of meteorological quantities, time series analysis, time trend, bifurcation point.

UDC: 681.518:551.50:551.501

Received: 12.08.2019
Revised: 18.09.2019

DOI: 10.26456/vtpmk541



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