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JOURNALS // Vestnik Udmurtskogo Universiteta. Matematika. Mekhanika. Komp'yuternye Nauki // Archive

Vestn. Udmurtsk. Univ. Mat. Mekh. Komp. Nauki, 2013 Issue 4, Pages 109–124 (Mi vuu406)

This article is cited in 5 papers

MATHEMATICS

On some probability models of dynamics of population growth

L. I. Rodina

Department of Mathematical Analysis, Udmurt State University, ul. Universitetskaya, 1, Izhevsk, 426034, Russia

Abstract: The new probability model is developed such that it is applied to the description of dynamics of growth for the isolated population. The conditions of asymptotical degeneration with probability one for the population which development is given by control system with random coefficients are found, and the conditions for the existence of the control leading population to degeneration are obtained, too. We study the dynamic mode of the development for the population which is on the verge of disappearance; it means that with probability one the size of such population will be less than the minimum critical value after which the biological restoration of the population is impossible. The results of the work are illustrated on an example of development of bisexual population.

Keywords: probability models of dynamics of population, probability of degeneration of the population, control systems with random coefficients.

UDC: 517.935+517.938

MSC: 34A60, 37N35, 49J15, 93B03

Received: 15.10.2013

DOI: 10.20537/vm130411



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