Abstract:
À problem of the management of liquidation process of floods consequences was formulated based on the system analysis was. System dynamics was used to solve this problem. The characteristics of floods consequences are determined and the causal diagram was constructed. The model to define characteristics of floods consequences affecting the amount of damage was developed and is represented by a system of nonlinear differential equations. The results of solution of system of differential equations were compared to a real data of the flood that occurred in Primorye in 2001. The algorithm of solving the problem of management of liquidation process of floods consequences in which a control functions are presented in the form of the action plans aimed at reducing the characteristics of floods consequences was developed. The software package was developed to implement models and algorithms. The structure of the complex of technical means of management system of liquidation process of floods consequences is developed. An informational-logical scheme illustrating the main stages of the implementation of the developed mathematical software in the structural subdivisions of the EMERCOM system of the object and territorial level has been formed.
Keywords:management of liquidation process of floods consequences, mathematical model, system dynamics.
UDC:
004.942 BBK:
30.6
Received: December 5, 2018 Published: January 31, 2020