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ЖУРНАЛЫ // Theory of Stochastic Processes // Архив

Theory Stoch. Process., 2008, том 14(30), выпуск 4, страницы 89–109 (Mi thsp216)

Minimax prediction problem for multidimensional stationary stochastic sequences

Mikhail Moklyachuk, Aleksandr Masyutka

Department of Probability Theory and Mathematical Statistics, Kyiv National Taras Shevchenko University, Kyiv 01601, Ukraine

Аннотация: The considered problem is estimation of the unknown value of the functionate $A\vec{\xi}\sum^\infty_{j=0}\vec{a}(j)\vec{\xi}(j)$ and $A_N\vec{\xi}\sum^N_{j=0}\vec{a}(j)\vec{\xi}(j)$ which depend on the unknown values of a multidimensional stationary stochastic sequence $\vec{\xi}(j)$ based on observations of the sequence $\vec{\xi}(j), j<0,$ from the class $\Xi$ of sequences which satisfy conditions $E\vec{\xi}(j)=0, \|\vec{\xi}(j)\|^2\leq P.$ The maximum values of the mean-square errors of the optimal estimates of the functionals $A\vec{\xi}$ and $A_N\vec{\xi}$ are found. It is shown that these maximum values of the errors in the class $\Xi$ give the moving average sequences which are determined by eigenvectors of compact operators constructed with the help of the sequence $\vec{a}(j).$

Ключевые слова: Stationary stochastic sequences, robust estimate, mean square error, least favorable spectral densities, minimax spectral characteristic.

MSC: 60G10,62M20,60G35, 93E10, 93E11

Язык публикации: английский



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